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即兴翻译 有错误的 见谅
http://www.climateprediction.net/science/results_sulphur.php
Initial results from the 5 phase experiment
For an introduction to the 5 phase experiment, click here.
Sulphur dioxide (SO2) is emitted by fossil fuel combustion and can react with other molecules (OH or hydrogen peroxide), particularly in clouds, to form what is known as sulphate aerosol (particles suspended in the air). This means that the amount of sulphate in the atmosphere is related to the amount of SO2 emissions, but also to the availability of these other molecules, the number of cloud droplets in the air etc.
Since in this experiment we use a model has an interactive sulphur cycle, we can identify how the total amount of sulphate in the atmosphere is affected by changing emissions of sulphur dioxide and/or the concentrations of carbon dioxide (CO2) in the atmosphere. In the sulphur cycle experiment we double CO2 (phase 3 - top map), change SO2 emissions to those expected for 2050 (phase 4 - middle map) and do a combined experiment of doubled CO2 and 2050 SO2 emissions together (phase 5 - bottom map) to identify the effects of a warmer atmosphere on future sulphate concentrations in the atmosphere.
概论5期实验,点击这里.
二氧化硫( SO2 )所排放的化石燃料燃烧和反应,可与其他分子(氢氧化物或双氧水之类) ,尤其是在云中,以何种形式被称为硫酸盐气溶胶(硫酸盐颗粒) .这意味着数额硫酸盐在大气中的含量有关,所以二氧化硫排排放,但也有上述的其他分子,有多少云滴在空中等.
因为在这个实验中,我们运用一个交互硫进行硫循环的模式,我们可以找出硫酸总额如何影响大气,是受不断变化的二氧化硫的排放量和二氧化碳浓度(二氧化碳) ,在大气层中. 在硫循环实验中,我们双二氧化碳 (第三期-顶图) ,改变以二氧化硫排放者预期2050年(请看4-中部图) ,并做到结合实验一倍, 二氧化碳和2050年使二氧化硫排放在一起(请看5-底部图) ,以找出影响一个温暖的气氛中就今后硫酸盐在大气中的浓度.

Maps (a), (b) and (c) show the total amount of sulphate in the whole depth of the atmosphere (the 'column mean') (in mg m-2) for the doubled CO2 phase (phase 3), the 2050 emissions phase (phase 4) and for the combined 2050 sulphate emissions and doubled CO2 phase (phase 5), averaged over the last 8 years of each phase. The emissions used follow the IPCC A2 scenario (which is the same as 'world 3' in the simplified discussion here) which suggests a very heterogeneous development of the world in to the future, which assumes self reliance and preservation of local identities i.e. a business as usual scenario where developing countries are allowed to develop and developed countries slowly reduce emissions of SO2 with no spread of technologies (see here). The A2 scenario was used as it provides one of the highest sulphur emissions scenarios available.
The first interesting point to look at is in comparing (a) and (b). You can see, that when 2050 SO2 emissions are used instead of present day emissions, the amount of sulphate over the USA and Western Europe is expected to be lower. Emissions of SO2 are expected to decrease in these regions and the figures reflect that.
Emissions increase in the sub-continent and southeast Asia in response to technological development and cause the total amount of sulphate to increase in these regions (and throughout the sub-tropics see fig (b)). There are also increases in the amount of sulphate over South America and Africa, again associated with technological development and increased emissions there. Sulphate particles scatter solar radiation back to space and so reduce the amount of solar radiation reaching the surface of the Earth. Also, as sulphate is highly soluble in water, it makes clouds more reflective, again reducing the the amount of solar radiation reaching the Earth's surface. Both these mechanisms mean that sulphate has a cooling effect. When CO2 is doubled along with the increases in SO2 emissions (phase 5) there is little change in the total amount of sulphate compared to the other phases, indicating that the amount of sulphate the atmosphere is not particularly affected by CO2 increases. This result suggests that in the future, sulphate may still be efficient at reducing some of the warming associated with higher CO2 levels
地图(a),(b及(c)展示总额硫酸在整个深度大气层( '参见图片底部变化度量' ) (2毫克/米 )为一倍, 二氧化碳期(第三期) 2050排放期(第四期) ,并结合2050年硫酸排放量和二氧化碳排放量翻了一番(第五期) ,平均超过了过去8年的每一个阶段.废气采用遵循气候A2情况(这里是关于一些其他国家简单讨论) ,这意味着一个非常庞杂的发展,世界在向未来,即假设自力更生的精神,并维护当地的电学特性.一如常情形容许发展中国家的发展和发达国家慢慢减少排放二氧化碳,没有扩散技术(见这里 ) . 该A2情景用,因为它提供了一个非常高的硫磺排放情景.
第一点有趣的看是比较(a)及(b) . 你可以看到,当2050年以二氧化硫排放用来代替目前每天排放量硫酸超过美国和西欧预计将低于去年. 排放等2预计会减少在这些地区,这些数字反映了这一点.
由于排放量增加,在亚大陆与东南亚对技术的发展和事业总额使得硫酸增加于这些地区(以及整个副热带见图(b) ) . 同时也有数额的硫酸在南美洲和非洲上空,这些与科学技术发展和增加硫排放相关连(这一句怎么也拿不准). 硫酸盐粒子散射太阳辐射回太空,从而减少太阳辐射量到达地球表面. 同时,由于硫酸盐在水中极易溶解,使更多的云层反光,又减少了太阳辐射量到达地球表面的. 这两种机制意味着硫酸具有冷却温室效应.当二氧化碳含量增加一倍,随之增加二氧化硫排放(第五期)有多大变化,在总量硫酸比起其他阶段,显示金额硫酸气体并不是特别受二氧化碳而增加. 这个结果表明在未来二氧化硫仍可有效减少一些变暖与更高的二氧化碳水平.
[ 本帖最后由 zglloo 于 2007-9-11 17:36 编辑 ] |
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